INDIA'S
Environment Minister, Jayanti Natarajan, put up a brave fight at
Durban in defense of the Kyoto Protocol, at least its
fundamental principle of environmental equity. The Durban
conference even had to be extended by as many as 36 hours. But
that was all she could achieve because the dice was loaded
against her. Her predecessor, Jairam Ramesh, had made sure of
that. Jayanti Natarajan kept insisting on equity being woven
into the next treaty but it does not find mention in the formal
closing declaration.However, even
assuming that the principle of environmental equity does guide
the negotiations on a future treaty, the fact remains that a new
arrangement, imposing binding commitments on all countries,
developed or developing will finally replace the Kyoto Protocol.
The Kyoto Protocol had laid down the fundamental principle that
every human being born on the planet earth had an equal
ownership of and access to the Global Commons, in this case the
environment, and that the countries that had been historically
responsible for depleting the Global Commons should take steps
for the restoration of the same. Accordingly, it imposed certain
legally binding minimum emission cuts on the developed countries
to be achieved by 2012 and enjoined on them to assist the
developing countries financially and technologically to enable
them also to participate in the global effort to save the
planet.
Unfortunately, the developed world
continued to be restless with Kyoto Protocol ever since it came
into force in 2005 and started coming up with alternate
proposals aimed at changing the very basis of the Kyoto
Protocol. The United States never signed it with its Senate
rejecting it by 95 votes to 0. This encouraged other developed
countries also to flout its provisions with impunity and to
start working to sabotage the Protocol itself.
First, they started spreading the word
that the Kyoto Protocol was to end in 2012 and a new treaty
needed to be negotiated before that date. This was far from
true. Kyoto Protocol does not end in 2012. It only imposed
minimum emission targets to be achieved by 2012 after which the
developed countries were to come up with enhanced targets for
cutting GHG emissions. At conference after annual conference
under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
(UNFCCC), these countries kept pressing for a new treaty which
would impose obligations on all countries, including the
developing ones. India's then Environment Minister, Jairam
Ramesh, kept whittling down the position of the developing
countries, first by endorsing the American MRV proposal, then by
implicitly accepting the Australian-Canadian proposal of
attaching country schedules to the new agreement and finally
expressing India's willingness to accept legally bind-ing
emission cuts at Cancun last year.
There was little, therefore, that Jayanti
Natarajan could have done this year. The process of negotiating
a new treaty had already gone far enough for her to be able to
reverse it.
Even apart from the principle of equity
and the need for respecting international treaties once
concluded, what does Durban achieve in terms of the global
objectives of limiting the temperature increase to 2 degrees
above the pre-industrial levels? First and foremost, it
postpones any decisive action by as many as nine years till
after 2020 with almost a complete vacuum during the next decade.
Immediately after the conclusion of the Durban Summit, Canada
announced its intention to formally withdraw from the Kyoto
Protocol. Japan, Russia and Australia are likely to follow suit.
United States is already out of it.
The only commitment to reduce emissions
during the period 2012 to 2020 may, therefore, come from the
European Union which accounts for a meager 14% of the GHG
emissions. In short, the biggest emitters have formally
announced at Durban that they will do nothing over the next
eight years to save the planet earth. There was no progress on
tying up the details of the meager US$ 100 billion a year Green
Climate Fund which, again, is to become operational only after
2020 nor a word on compensation to countries that take measures
against deforestation - the two steps which had been announced
with such fanfare at Copenhagen in Dec, 2009.
India were painted as the deal-breakers at
Durban but not a word against the United States, Canada, Japan,
Russia and Australia which are staying out of the still existing
Kyoto Protocol with impunity and arrogance. If that is, indeed,
the attitude of some of the biggest GHG emitters towards deals
like the Kyoto Protocol, India will do well to carry the label
of a deal-breaker as a badge of honour.
George W. Bush (Senior) said prior to the
1992 Earth Summit at Rio de Janiero that the American way of
life was not up for negotiation. This 'American way of life' is
costing the planet earth 20 metric tones of carbon dioxide per
head annually as against China's 5 metric tones and India's 1.5
MTs. Barack Obama is more suave; yet the trajectory of American
position on climate change reinforces the same statement of
George W. Bush (Senior) from Copenhagen in 2009 to Cancun in
2010 and now to Durban in 2011. · |